Presyo ng Bitcoin, Nalaglag sa Ibaba ng ₱4.25 Milyon; Pag-asa sa "Fed Rate Cut," Naglaho
US wholesale prices rose 3.4% year-over-year in February, crushing hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The CME FedWatch Tool now shows just 42% odds of steady rates by September, down from 89% one month earlier.
Key Takeaway
Sa loob lang ng isang buwan, gumuho ng 47 puntos ang posibilidad ng rate cut ng Fed. Dahil dito, nawala ang "macro tailwind" o ang pwersang nagtutulak sana sa pag-akyat ng Bitcoin.
Nalaglag ang Bitcoin sa ₱4,247,350 ($71,000) nitong Miyerkules, matapos muntik nang maabot ang ₱4.55 milyong ($76,000) mark noong nakaraang araw. Ang 7% na correction na ito ay sumabay din sa pagbaba ng S&P 500, na naitulak ng 4% palayo sa all-time high nito sa parehong araw.
Tumaas ng 3.4% year-over-year ang US wholesale prices noong February, pinakamalaking gain sa loob ng 12 buwan. Tumalon ang oil prices sa higit ₱5,863 ($98) per barrel. Umabot sa 1.85 million ang jobless claims sa week ending March 7. Kaya nung nag-combine ang inflation pressure at weak employment data, pumalpak ang hopes para sa Fed rate cuts. Nag-show lang ang CME FedWatch Tool ng 42% odds ng steady rates by September, down from 89% one month earlier.
Nasa 3.71% ang 2-year Treasury yield noong Wednesday, while ang 2-year inflation expectation ng Cleveland Fed ay nasa 2.27%. Ibig sabihin, nasa 1.44% ang adjusted return, making bonds attractive compared sa mas risky assets.
Base sa estimate ng CoinGlass, may leveraged long Bitcoin futures worth ₱26.92 billion ($450 million) na pwedeng ma-liquidate pag bumaba ang prices to $68,000. Bumaba na rin ang Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rates below the neutral 6% to 12% range, signaling reduced bullish leverage sa market.
Bumaba ang gold prices to $4,900 noong Wednesday pero nag-hold pa rin above $4,800 for the fourth consecutive week. Kinumpirma ng funding rates tracked by Laevitas.ch ang shift in sentiment across crypto derivatives markets noong March 19, 2026.
ℹ️ Article Details
- Source: cointelegraph.com
- Original URL: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-falls-under-71k-but-data-shows-btc-s-bullish-momentum-holding?utm_source=rss_feed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound
- Reading Time: 3 minutes
- Category: market-analysis
- Tickers: BTC
- Key Takeaway: Fed rate cut odds collapsed 47 points in a month — Bitcoin's macro tailwind just disappeared.
- Slug: bitcoin-drops-below-fed-rate-cut-odds-collapse
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