Kailangan ng XRP ng 170% Gain para Umabot sa $3.84 All-Time High

Nasa 63% pa rin below ang XRP mula sa January 2018 all-time high nito na $3.84, kaya kailangan niya ng 170% rally mula sa current level na $1.42. Posible ang bagong record bago matapos ang taon, pero unlikely kung hindi mag-align ang tatlong specific catalyst sa Q4 2026.

Ang unang catalyst ay persistent ETF at product inflows. Nag-pull in ang XRP-linked products ng ₱8.94 bilyon ($147.8 million) year-to-date hanggang May, with assets under management na umabot na sa ₱157.3 bilyon ($2.6 billion). Pero yung weekly flows noong April ay napaka-choppy—₱7.24 bilyon ($119.6 million) inflow isang linggo, ₱3.39 bilyon ($56 million) outflow naman sa susunod, tapos ₱1.51 bilyon ($25 million) ulit pabalik. Mahirap i-sustain ang upward momentum dahil sa ganoong volatility.

Pangalawa ay policy clarity. Nag-issue ang SEC at CFTC ng crypto-asset guidance noong March 17, at nag-list na rin ang CME ng XRP futures. Pero nag-lag pa rin ang institutional access. May hawak ang Ripple ng more than 75 licenses sa more than 60 markets at nag-process na ng over ₱6.05 trillion ($100 billion) sa payments, with its Treasury product na nag-handle ng $13 trillion in customer payment volume noong 2025. Ang kulang pa ay yung mga banks, funds, at market makers na actively nag-hold ng XRP inventory for routing, bridge liquidity, or collateral-linked activity.

Pangatlo ay direct value capture. Hindi pa bumabalik ang spot demand. Bumaba ang leverage ratios mula 0.201 noong March 15 to 0.160 by May 1, at ang open interest around May 1 ay nasa $2.48 billion. Mas healthy yan compared sa early April period nang nag-wipe out ang 55% drawdown ng XRP ng $20 million to $110 million in daily losses. Pero yung lower leverage ay nangangahulugan lang ng less risk—hindi ibig sabihin bumalik na ang buyers.

Kung mag-hold ang low-$1 range at hindi lumala ang macro pressure, posibleng mag-form ang market bottom sa Q2 or early Q3 2026. Nilalagay ng bearish scenarios ang XRP between $1.15 at $1.28. Ang bullish case naman ay pumapalo ng $1.55 to $1.80. Sa severe selling, posibleng bumagsak to mid-$0.60s. Nag-cluster ang first bottom test bands between $1.15 at $1.30.

Ang bagong all-time high ay ibang usapan na. Hinahati ng $3.84 line ang recovery from price discovery. Kung walang lahat ng tatlong catalyst na mag-align sa Q4 2026, ang base case projection ay mananatiling below all-time high ang XRP through year-end, with realistic shot at new record na itinulak na lang into late 2027.

ℹ️ Article Details

• Source: CryptoSlate
• Original URL: https://cryptoslate.com/how-xrp-could-break-its-all-time-high-this-year-is-a-170-surge-really-possible/
• Reading Time: 3 minutes
• Category: market-analysis
• Tickers: XRP
• Key Takeaway: XRP's path to $3.84 depends on sustained ETF inflows, regulatory clarity, and institutional liquidity demand converging by Q4.
• Slug: xrp-needs-gain-hit-all-time-high

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